Can lithium batteries really replace lead-acid batteries?

So will lithium batteries really, as some companies wish, will usher in a big explosion in the near future? According to some senior industry professionals in the battery industry, years of usage habits and the inertia of the consumer market determine that lead-acid batteries still have a basis for their existence. One. my country's huge possession of electric bicycles provides a solid foundation for the development of batteries. The current development status of my country's electric bicycle industry. The demographic dividend of nearly 1.4 billion in my country has laid the foundation for a huge consumer market, making my country the largest country in the production and sales of electric bicycles in the world, and a manufacturing industry with a large production scale in the field of transportation. The total number of electric bicycles in our country has reached 300 million, which can be said to be a real national transportation tool. According to industry forecasts, in the next five years, the annual compound growth rate of total social ownership will be about 5%, which will continue to increase steadily. In addition to electric bicycles, the demand for small electric tricycles, large electric tricycles and electric forklifts is also on the rise. The newly added and updated vehicles for public transportation, sanitation, post, ports, airports, and railway operations in urban built-up areas require the use of new energy or clean energy vehicles, and it is expected that the sales of special-purpose vehicles will also be stimulated. Overseas, most Southeast Asian countries currently use motorcycles (and rely on imports), while electric bicycles are still in their infancy. With reference to the development trend of my country's transportation tools over the years, Southeast Asia's electric bicycles have full potential in the future, which will stimulate my country's export demand. In order to ensure the endurance, the battery of an electric bicycle generally needs to be replaced every 1.5-2 years. At the same time, the continued rise of my country's electric bicycles and tricycles is expected, as well as the rise of relevant export markets in Southeast Asia, which provide the upstream battery market for electric vehicles with continued upward potential. On the whole, the development of my country's electric vehicle batteries in the future will be attackable and defensive. The core of the question is whether the traditional lead-acid battery can be solid, or the emerging lithium battery can suddenly emerge? two. Lead-acid batteries are still an important variety of electric bicycles. The development of the two complements each other. One of the fundamental reasons for the development of my country's electric bicycle industry is the high cost-effectiveness of electric bicycles. At present, the simple model with the largest sales volume on the market has an average price of around 2,000 yuan and a cruising range of 30-50km, which can fully meet the actual needs of people for daily travel. Under the same specifications, the price of lead-acid battery models will generally be about 800-1,000 yuan lower than that of lithium battery models. With regard to category models with larger battery specifications, the price advantages of lead-acid models are more distinct. In view of the price sensitivity of Chinese users, industry insiders have made it clear that as long as the overall price advantage of lead-acid batteries remains, the new national standard will not have a fatal impact on lead-acid batteries. Under the premise that the price of traditional lead-acid batteries maintains certain advantages, if the price of lithium batteries cannot be lowered by a certain percentage, it is almost impossible to replace lead-acid batteries in a short period of time! In addition to price factors, safety factors are also the reason why lead-acid battery models cannot be replaced in a short time. In recent years, the electric bicycles that have been reported from time to time in major news have burned again. It may spontaneously ignite when riding halfway, or it may be caused by an explosion when charging at night, which is frightening. If such a thing happens, the property loss is a trivial matter, and if there are casualties, the gain will not be worth the loss. Generally speaking, after long-term development, lead-acid batteries have formed a complete industrial chain of processing, sales, and recycling, and firmly occupy the first place in the electric bicycle battery market with price and safety advantages. About 95% of the demand in the secondary market. It can be seen that even though the subject of lithium batteries is currently hot, lead-acid batteries are still the main theme of electric bicycle power. There is a long way to go for the lithium battery of electric bicycles. Experts predict that there is a high probability that it will be difficult to break through the technical and production barriers within 5 years. Disclaimer: Some pictures and content of articles published on this site are from the Internet. If there is any infringement, please contact to delete. Previous: How long is the life of the ternary polymer lithium battery?